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In the 1990s the peak was around 70 per cent and took three or four years to recover. In the major recession following the financial shock of 2007, the peak was not as severe as the 1980s recession and took only two to three years to attain 50 per cent, though it rose again subsequently as the recovery stalled. The flip-side of the caution being exercised by the business corporation is the extent to which it is prepared to borrow to finance investment. Here, the difference between the two cycles is palpable.

Employment protection rights so that employers are more willing to hire them ... workers might not be able to insure themselves against labour market risk but they can fund their consumption through second mortgages and credit card debt, making them less dependent on their labour income. 21–2). A major theme of this book is that this excessive and continuing reliance on labour market reform, rooted as it was in the economic record of the 1970s, has long since run into the zone of nil or even negative returns.

1 UK unemployment (OECD standardized unemployment rates) and year on year percentage changes in the deflator for gross value added at basic prices Sources: ONS for deflator; for unemployment: OECD and Maddison (1982) for data before 1975. Investment, the Labour Market and Economic Policy 37 most to aggressive pay demands. Armed with such a model it was hoped to embed the short-run notion of demand management with an overarching long-run model with classical properties (McDonald and Solow 1981).

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